Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.000648 0.000741 0.000841 0.000954 0.001078 0.001211 0.001364
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000493 0.000620 0.000765 0.000941 0.001149 0.001383 0.001665
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000403 0.000542 0.000708 0.000919 0.001176 0.001477 0.001854
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000347 0.000494 0.000678 0.000921 0.001228 0.001598 0.002073
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000306 0.000460 0.000659 0.000931 0.001283 0.001720 0.002292
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000261 0.000414 0.000619 0.000908 0.001294 0.001782 0.002437
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000223 0.000372 0.000580 0.000881 0.001295 0.001831 0.002563
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000198 0.000346 0.000560 0.000879 0.001326 0.001916 0.002736
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000176 0.000324 0.000543 0.000877 0.001357 0.002001 0.002909
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000156 0.000299 0.000520 0.000866 0.001372 0.002063 0.003053
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000136 0.000275 0.000495 0.000848 0.001376 0.002110 0.003175
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000127 0.000266 0.000494 0.000866 0.001432 0.002229 0.003399
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000117 0.000257 0.000490 0.000881 0.001485 0.002347 0.003627
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000103 0.000236 0.000468 0.000865 0.001491 0.002397 0.003761
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000089 0.000217 0.000444 0.000845 0.001488 0.002435 0.003877
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000081 0.000206 0.000435 0.000847 0.001520 0.002522 0.004064
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000075 0.000198 0.000430 0.000856 0.001562 0.002626 0.004277
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000065 0.000181 0.000408 0.000835 0.001554 0.002654 0.004380
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000056 0.000165 0.000386 0.000810 0.001539 0.002670 0.004466
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000050 0.000156 0.000376 0.000807 0.001561 0.002742 0.004634
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000147 0.000367 0.000806 0.001583 0.002815 0.004807
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000040 0.000137 0.000354 0.000795 0.001589 0.002863 0.004940
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000035 0.000127 0.000338 0.000778 0.001584 0.002892 0.005046